Balance your budget in 3 simple Steps
- Enter your planned or current channel spend.
- The tool applies evidence-based weightings.
- Get your balance score & act on it
Use it to shape your media strategy, challenge assumptions in planning meetings, and sharpen the conversation with finance and leadership.
Long & Short Budget Calculator
A Data-Backed Way to Balance Long-Term Brand Marketing & Short-Term Activation.
For years, marketers have been pressured into chasing short-term wins—clicks, conversions, quarterly sales. But The Long and the Short of it, the legendary work of Les Binet & Peter Field shows that this obsession with the short term quietly erodes long-term brand profitability, while Andrew Tindall’s “The Creative Dividend” for System1 and Effie proves that which consumer touchpoints you use massively changes your business results. The Long & the Short of It Calculator combines these two research streams, using formulas created by Oliver JP Osborne, Director of Marketing at Fallsview Group, to give you an at-a-glance view of how your current or planned media mix is likely to split between short-term sales impact and long-term brand effects.
Your Media Mix
Enter your budget allocation for each channel below.
Total Media Budget
$0
Impact Distribution
Short Term (Sales)
Long Term (Brand)
Short Term Score: 0
Long Term Score: 0
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how balancing your marketing budgets influences your Growth
- Prevent underinvestment in brand building – Binet & Field show that campaigns designed primarily for long-term brand growth generate far stronger profit and share gains than those focused only on short-term response.
- Avoid the hidden cost of short-termism – short-term tactics can create quick volume, but they often increase price sensitivity and fail to build durable equity, which means lower long-run profitability.
- Use touchpoints that match your goals – Tindall’s consumer touchpoints impact outcomes analysis demonstrates that some channels (like TV, online video/CTV, paid social and in-store) are strong at both converting demand and building future demand, while others lean heavily to one side. The Oliver JP Osborne inspired calculator reflects these patterns in its weights.
- Build pricing power, not just volume – both Binet & Field and System1’s effectiveness databank underline that campaigns which reduce price sensitivity and grow brand distinctiveness are much more profitable than those that only chase short-term sales.
- Predict the direction of your marketing effectiveness – by comparing your current mix to proven long/short patterns (including Binet & Field’s ESOV logic and Tindall’s touchpoint findings), you get an early signal of whether your plan is set up for sustainable growth or short-lived spikes.
- Give finance and leadership a defensible rationale – the calculator is built on the same kind of databank analysis used in IPA effectiveness work and the Effie/System1 partnership, not on hunches or agency folklore. You can show why your brand vs performance split and touchpoint choices make sense.
Grounded in effectiveness research, modelled by practitioners.
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Les Binet & Peter Field – “The Long and the Short of It”
Their analysis of nearly 1,000 campaigns from the IPA Databank shows how long-term brand effects and short-term sales effects work on different timescales, why the average 60:40 brand:activation split is so powerful, and how share of voice and campaign duration compound to drive growth and profit. -
Andrew Tindall – “The Creative Dividend”
Tindall’s work uses a databank of 1,265 Effie campaigns plus System1’s “Test Your Ad” data to show how touchpoint choices and creative quality drive both business results and lasting brand effects, and highlights which touchpoints are best at converting demand vs creating future demand. -
Formulas created by Oliver JP Osborne
Oliver designed the formulas that power this calculator: turning your channel investments into a comparable short-term vs long-term impact distribution, using weightings inspired by Binet & Field’s long/short framework and Tindall’s touchpoint impact patterns. -
Marketing Budget Planning Tool
The result is a practical marketing budget planning tool you can use in minutes—without needing to run a full econometric model or wait months for campaign data.
Make the Tool Your Starting Point. Make Our Agency Your Growth Partner.
The calculator gives you an evidence-based starting point for balancing long-term brand building and short-term activation. But it can’t see your category, your brand strength, your pricing or your creative. That’s where we come in.
We’re a senior-only brand and marketing strategy studio, applying the same classical marketing logic behind Binet & Field and other great marketers' work. Over 16+ years and 120+ brands in 12+ countries, we’ve helped leaders turn abstract “brand vs performance” debates into clear choices and real growth.
We help you interpret the numbers, decide where growth can really come from, set a realistic long/short split and turn it into a simple plan your teams and agencies can execute. You can work with us in a classic format (we do the heavy lifting) or co-creation format (we build it together with your team).
We’re a senior-only brand and marketing strategy studio, applying the same classical marketing logic behind Binet & Field and other great marketers' work. Over 16+ years and 120+ brands in 12+ countries, we’ve helped leaders turn abstract “brand vs performance” debates into clear choices and real growth.
We help you interpret the numbers, decide where growth can really come from, set a realistic long/short split and turn it into a simple plan your teams and agencies can execute. You can work with us in a classic format (we do the heavy lifting) or co-creation format (we build it together with your team).
FAQ
The calculator is built on two large-scale effectiveness databanks:
The formulas created by Oliver JP Osborne apply these patterns to your media mix, giving you a realistic directional view of your short-term vs long-term impact. It’s not a replacement for econometrics, but it is a robust planning tool grounded in serious evidence rather than opinion.
- Binet & Field’s analysis of the IPA Databank, covering 996 campaigns across 30+ years, which identifies how different budget splits, channels and timescales affect profit, share, volume and price sensitivity.
- System1 & Effie’s “The Creative Dividend” data, which analyses 1,265 campaigns and shows how different consumer touchpoints contribute to short-term performance vs lasting brand effects.
The formulas created by Oliver JP Osborne apply these patterns to your media mix, giving you a realistic directional view of your short-term vs long-term impact. It’s not a replacement for econometrics, but it is a robust planning tool grounded in serious evidence rather than opinion.
Not exactly—and the tool reflects that nuance.
Binet & Field show that the average optimum is around 60% of spend on brand building and 40% on activation, but also emphasise that the ideal balance varies by category and competitive context because categories differ in how their investments are split.
The calculator uses 60:40 as a starting benchmark, then adjusts your effective balance based on:
That’s why the output is a ratio and risk indication, not a one-size-fits-all rule.
Binet & Field show that the average optimum is around 60% of spend on brand building and 40% on activation, but also emphasise that the ideal balance varies by category and competitive context because categories differ in how their investments are split.
The calculator uses 60:40 as a starting benchmark, then adjusts your effective balance based on:
- Your actual media mix
- The touchpoint tendencies from “The Creative Dividend” (how each channel behaves for performance vs brand effects).
That’s why the output is a ratio and risk indication, not a one-size-fits-all rule.
Andrew Tindall’s “Touchpoint choices impact outcomes” chart (page 19 of The Creative Dividend) shows that different touchpoints have different strengths: some are better at converting demand quickly, others at building brand effects over time, and a few “super touchpoints” (like TV, online video/CTV, paid social and in-store) are good at both.
The calculator:
The calculator:
- Tags each channel as more performance-leaning, brand-leaning or balanced
- Applies weightings derived from these patterns
- Combines them with Binet & Field’s long/short framework via Oliver JP Osborne’s formulas
Your final output is a percentage split of expected impact, not just spend:
- Short-term (performance) impact – the part of your mix that, based on the research, is most likely to drive sales within 6 months (think immediate response, conversions and activation).
- Long-term (brand) impact – the part most likely to grow brand awareness, distinctiveness, pricing power and share over years, not weeks. Binet & Field show that these long-term effects are not just an accumulation of short-term ones—they work differently and take longer.
You might grow volume for a while—but the evidence suggests you’ll struggle to grow profit and pricing power.
The calculator won’t stop you from choosing a performance-heavy mix, but it will make the long-term trade-offs explicit.
- Binet & Field find that campaigns focused only on short-term response underperform on long-term profit, share and price sensitivity compared to those designed for long-term brand building.
- They also show that pricing effects—a huge driver of profitability—take much longer to build than volume effects.
The calculator won’t stop you from choosing a performance-heavy mix, but it will make the long-term trade-offs explicit.
Not directly. It assumes average creative quality across channels.
However, both Binet & Field and System1 show that creative quality and emotion are major multipliers:
However, both Binet & Field and System1 show that creative quality and emotion are major multipliers:
- Emotional, fame-driving campaigns deliver far more powerful long-term business effects than purely rational ones.
- The Creative Dividend shows that high-emotion ads generate significantly more business results across regions, and that entertaining campaigns make media spend work harder.
Binet & Field’s work makes it clear that share of voice and campaign duration are key to long-term share growth, but that effects accumulate slowly and are easy to misread if you look only at short-term metrics.
The calculator helps you:
The calculator helps you:
- Stress-test whether your brand vs performance split is aligned with long-term profitability
- Understand if your touchpoints skew too hard toward quick wins at the expense of future demand
- Prepare better conversations with finance by grounding your budget plan in evidence from large effectiveness databanks
Yes—but what you watch for may differ.
- The Creative Dividend shows that emotion and brand-building help both leaders and challengers, but that differentiation is especially important for challengers to grow share.
- Binet & Field show that long-term brand building and broad reach are crucial for sustaining growth and efficiency across brand sizes.
No. It’s not designed to replace those methods.
Think of this calculator as a decision-support and education tool:
The best setup is: use this tool upfront to design smarter budgets and touchpoint mixes, then validate and refine with your own measurement later.
Think of this calculator as a decision-support and education tool:
- It helps you plan budgets using patterns from large databanks (IPA, Effie/System1) rather than reinventing the wheel every year.
- Econometrics and MMM help you measure the specific effects of your own historic activity.
The best setup is: use this tool upfront to design smarter budgets and touchpoint mixes, then validate and refine with your own measurement later.
The Creative Dividend shows that well-branded, consistent campaigns that reuse fluent devices, characters and brand assets:
- Achieve higher brand fluency (people knowing which brand the ad is for)
- Grow distinctiveness and differentiation, which are strongly linked to share growth
Sometimes you genuinely need a short-term sales push. Both databanks recognise that activation works well for quick results.
The calculator will show a short-term heavy mix as such—but it’s especially useful then, because it reminds you:
The calculator will show a short-term heavy mix as such—but it’s especially useful then, because it reminds you:
- Short-term heavy plans are often not sustainable if repeated constantly
- You’ll need to rebalance toward brand building in subsequent periods to protect margin and future demand.
- The underlying evidence comes from Les Binet & Peter Field’s “The Long and the Short of It” and Andrew Tindall’s “The Creative Dividend” for System1 and Effie.
- The formulas and modelling logic were created by Oliver JP Osborne, Director of Marketing at Fallsview Group.
- The tool is hosted and interpreted by Tarnovski Branding Studio, a senior-only brand & marketing strategy agency that helps you turn these insights into clear positioning, better strategy and creative briefs.